ICS 07.060 A 47 DB46 DB 46/ T 465—2018 Technical specifications for lightning disaster risk regionalization 2018 - 10 - 23 2018 - 12 - 01 DB46/T 465—2018 GB/T 1.1-2009 I DB46/T 465—2018 1 2 2.1 disaster-formative environment [MZ/T 027-2011 3.4] 2.2 hazard affected body [MZ/T 027-2011 3.6] 2.3 disaster information [GB/T 26376-2010 4.4] 2.4 lightning disaster frequency -1 ·a 2.5 economic vulnerability modulus GDP ·km -2 2.6 vital vulnerability modulus -2 ·km 2.7 1 DB46/T 465—2018 thunderstorm data d·a -1 2.8 ground lightning density ·km-2·a-1 GB 50057-2010 A.0.1 Ng 2.9 ground lightning intensity kA 2.10 mortality rate -6 10 -1 ·a 2.11 rural population density -2 ·km 2.12 R-Cluster analysis 2.13 Q-Cluster analysis 3 3.1 —— —— —— ——50kA 3.2 —— —— —— —— —— 4 2 DB46/T 465—2018 4.1 4.2 4.3 200kA 4.4 2kA 5km×5km GDP 4.5 4.6 1:250000 5 5.1 3.1 5.2 3.2 Pearson 5.3 5.1 0.6 5.2 5.4 0.01 5.5 6 6.1 6.1.1 5.2 6.1.2 6.2 6.2.1 1- 3 1 3 DB46/T 465—2018 2 3 6.2.2 7 7.1 —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— Pearson 6.2 7.2 4 DB46/T 465—2018 R Pearson 1 5 DB46/T 465—2018 AA A A.1 A.1 A.1 /d 98.3 1951-2013 59.7 1961-2013 89.1 1959-2013 84.1 1953-2013 67.5 1959-2013 109.0 1959-2013 75.0 1963-2013 111.6 1953-2013 95.3 1962-2013 121.0 1959-2013 109.0 1963-2013 109.7 1959-2013 84.1 1966-2013 111.9 1959-2013 100.9 1956-2013 79.8 1956-2013 99.9 1966-2013 86.8 1962-2013 2014 GB50343-2012 3.1 A.2 A.2 A.2 /d 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 0.1 0.6 2.1 7.9 18.1 18.7 17.5 17.3 11.8 3.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.7 8.3 9.5 9.2 12.3 11.7 4.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 7.4 16.1 15.4 13.7 17.6 12.0 3.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.7 6.9 15.4 14.2 12.5 15.9 12.1 4.4 0.6 0.1 6 DB46/T 465—2018 0.0 0.3 0.9 4.5 11.0 11.4 10.1 13.5 11.1 4.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 8.2 17.6 17.4 18.8 20.5 17.0 6.3 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 4.0 9.6 10.3 10.6 14.9 15.1 7.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 10.3 19.8 18.2 19.7 20.0 14.9 4.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.7 7.3 16.4 16.8 17.8 17.5 12.6 4.3 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 10.5 20.9 21.0 21.9 21.5 15.8 4.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.3 9.7 19.4 18.9 19.0 20.0 14.1 4.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 10.1 19.2 18.2 18.5 20.3 15.0 4.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.9 13.6 11.8 14.5 16.1 14.4 5.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.5 10.7 19.9 17.5 19.3 20.0 15.0 5.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0 8.5 17.4 16.7 17.7 18.8 14.2 4.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.9 12.6 14.7 13.3 15.9 13.2 4.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 5.9 16.5 16.6 17.1 19.4 16.5 5.7 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 6.0 13.2 13.1 13.4 17.2 14.7 6.8 0.8 0.0 7 DB46/T 465—2018 BB B B.1 1999-2015 1999 29 5 24 13 4 9 2000 21 10 11 24 9 15 2001 32 13 19 34 11 23 2002 61 21 40 55 28 27 2003 88 19 69 40 16 24 2004 63 27 36 70 25 45 2005 48 21 27 46 15 31 2006 44 11 33 22 9 13 2007 90 18 72 58 15 43 2008 107 12 95 19 13 6 2009 88 14 74 18 9 9 2010 47 4 43 5 2 3 2011 9 1 8 1 1 0 2012 5 3 2 5 3 2 2013 13 7 6 10 7 3 2014 5 2 3 3 2 1 2015 4 1 3 2 1 1 754 189 565 425 170 255 8 DB46/T 465—2018 CC C C.1 Pearson Pearson C.1 m xik xi x jk xj k 1 rij m xik xi k 1 2 ............................ (C.1) m x jk xj 2 k 1 rij —— xik —— i x jk —— k j k xi —— i x j —— j m —— C.2 C.2 2 m d ij xik x jk ....................... (C.2) k 1 d ij —— xik —— i i j k 9 DB46/T 465—2018 x jk —— j k m —— C.3 Ward's method Ward's C.1 n-1 n-2 n-1 …… C.4 0.01 1% 10 DB46/T 465—2018 DD D D.1 SPSS 1998-2009 18 50kA Euclidean Distance Ward's D.2 D.2.1 D.2.1.1 D.2.1.2 50kA D.2.1.3 D.2.1.4 D.2.1.5 D.2.1.6 D.2.1.7 GDP 18 2009 1998-2009 1998-2009 D.2.2 18 SPSS “ D.1 D.1 50KA Td d•a-1 Ng -2 ·a-1 N •a-1 P / C / -2 •a-1 E / -2 1 0.238 0.252 2.319 1.223 3.526 3.649 2 -0.287 0.505 0.010 1.840 -0.133 -0.064 3 1.596 1.020 -0.199 2.008 -0.122 -0.064 4 0.096 0.243 -0.507 -0.004 0.424 0.077 5 0.799 1.283 -0.451 0.499 -0.050 -0.331 6 0.893 2.368 -0.402 -0.903 -0.216 -0.418 7 1.029 0.062 -0.144 -0.508 0.209 -0.162 11 DB46/T 465—2018 8 -0.582 0.912 0.626 0.103 0.209 0.186 9 0.439 0.559 2.522 -1.178 -1.015 -0.729 10 1.065 -0.327 -0.710 -0.903 -0.932 -0.681 11 0.935 -1.132